CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Buffalo
Offensive efficiency (PPA)17th pct.
Offensive success rate4th pct.
Explosiveness34th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)40th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed72th pct.
Havoc rate41th pct.
Toledo
Offensive efficiency (PPA)75th pct.
Offensive success rate46th pct.
Explosiveness93th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)70th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed86th pct.
Havoc rate28th pct.
Buffalo · Returning production
Overall (PPA)-0.8%
Passing9.4%
Rushing9.0%
Receiving-7.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-12-1 · O/U 13-9-1 · avg. margin -0.8
Toledo · Returning production
Overall (PPA)66.3%
Passing98.5%
Rushing26.3%
Receiving58.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +9.6
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Buffalo 23–8 Toledo
2024Toledo 15–30 Buffalo
2023Buffalo 13–31 Toledo
2022Toledo 27–34 Buffalo
2019Toledo 30–49 Buffalo
2018Buffalo 31–17 Toledo
Venue & conditions
Glass Bowl · Toledo, OH
81°F · 10.1 mph wind · 3% precip. chance
Player props
Members11 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Adjatay Dabbs — Over 0.5.