CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Duke
Offensive efficiency (PPA)81th pct.
Offensive success rate78th pct.
Explosiveness79th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)26th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed27th pct.
Havoc rate72th pct.
Illinois
Offensive efficiency (PPA)70th pct.
Offensive success rate89th pct.
Explosiveness17th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)25th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed16th pct.
Havoc rate43th pct.
Duke · Returning production
Overall (PPA)17.1%
Passing4.1%
Rushing43.2%
Receiving20.3%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-8-2 · O/U 14-10 · avg. margin +3.0
Illinois · Returning production
Overall (PPA)21.1%
Passing3.2%
Rushing34.2%
Receiving31.3%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-7-1 · O/U 8-14 · avg. margin +1.6
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Duke 31–27 Illinois
2025Illinois 45–19 Duke
Venue & conditions
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) · Champaign, IL
87°F · 8.3 mph wind · 6% precip. chance
Player props
Members100 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Aidan Laughery — Over 0.5.