CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
NC State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)82th pct.
Offensive success rate63th pct.
Explosiveness90th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)17th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed71th pct.
Havoc rate34th pct.
Virginia
Offensive efficiency (PPA)64th pct.
Offensive success rate40th pct.
Explosiveness71th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)79th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed85th pct.
Havoc rate83th pct.
NC State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)59.9%
Passing93.1%
Rushing101.5%
Receiving26.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-13-1 · O/U 13-11 · avg. margin -0.1
Virginia · Returning production
Overall (PPA)9.5%
Passing1.1%
Rushing21.0%
Receiving8.7%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 15-9 · O/U 7-17 · avg. margin +2.8
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings2026NC State 8–34 Virginia
2025Virginia 31–35 NC State
2023NC State 24–21 Virginia
2020NC State 38–21 Virginia
2018Virginia 21–35 NC State
Venue & conditions
Scott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA
83°F · 8.6 mph wind · 3% precip. chance
Player props
Members67 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Beau Pribula — Over 0.5.