CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Nevada
Offensive efficiency (PPA)4th pct.
Offensive success rate9th pct.
Explosiveness26th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)34th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed32th pct.
Havoc rate24th pct.
Middle Tennessee
Offensive efficiency (PPA)29th pct.
Offensive success rate57th pct.
Explosiveness44th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)18th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed20th pct.
Havoc rate49th pct.
Nevada · Returning production
Overall (PPA)35.5%
Passing-130.0%
Rushing-11.8%
Receiving41.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 11-11-2 · O/U 10-14 · avg. margin -8.2
Middle Tennessee · Returning production
Overall (PPA)32.5%
Passing39.2%
Rushing60.1%
Receiving26.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 9-12 · O/U 10-11 · avg. margin -11.9
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Nevada 20–27 Middle Tennessee
2025Middle Tennessee 14–13 Nevada
Venue & conditions
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN
97°F · 14.2 mph wind · 16% precip. chance
Player props
Members22 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Carter Jones — Over 0.5.