CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
North Texas
Offensive efficiency (PPA)98th pct.
Offensive success rate98th pct.
Explosiveness74th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)57th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed31th pct.
Havoc rate20th pct.
Texas State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)95th pct.
Offensive success rate82th pct.
Explosiveness86th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)42th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed55th pct.
Havoc rate49th pct.
North Texas · Returning production
Overall (PPA)2.5%
Passing2.4%
Rushing2.8%
Receiving2.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-10 · O/U 17-7 · avg. margin +7.6
Texas State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)76.0%
Passing99.8%
Rushing48.0%
Receiving79.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-14 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +10.0
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026North Texas 35–49 Texas State
2024North Texas 28–30 Texas State
Venue & conditions
Bobcat Stadium (TX) · San Marcos, TX
95°F · 7.8 mph wind · 2% precip. chance
Player props
Members18 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Brec Long — Over 0.5.