CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Toledo
Offensive efficiency (PPA)54th pct.
Offensive success rate61th pct.
Explosiveness43th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)99th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed97th pct.
Havoc rate96th pct.
Michigan State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)27th pct.
Offensive success rate43th pct.
Explosiveness32th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)20th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed15th pct.
Havoc rate16th pct.
Toledo · Returning production
Overall (PPA)66.3%
Passing98.5%
Rushing26.3%
Receiving58.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +9.6
Michigan State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)20.9%
Passing16.2%
Rushing18.5%
Receiving24.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 11-10 · O/U 11-10 · avg. margin -7.6
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings2026Toledo 20–30 Michigan State
Venue & conditions
Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI
76°F · 8.8 mph wind · 20% precip. chance
Player props
Members100 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Adjatay Dabbs — Over 0.5.