Sat, Sep 26 · 6:30 PM ET
Louisiana at Charlotte
Louisiana favored by 10 · total 48.5
LouisianaRagin' Cajuns
Away · Sun Belt
-10
-115
-410
ML
Charlotte49ers
Home · American Athletic
+10
-105
+320
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Louisiana | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 92% | 41% |
| Passing | 101%* | 113%* |
| Rushing | 82% | 27% |
| Receiving | 92% | 16% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- The number sits exactly on 10, one of the margins college games land on most often — so a half-point move either way changes more results here than the same move anywhere else on the board.
- The spread has moved from 14.5 to 10 since it opened, toward the home side. It crossed 14, changing the result in 4.1% of historical games.
- A total of 48.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 3.4 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Louisiana
12-12-1 ATS · 14-11 SU
14-11 O/U · 8-4 away
Charlotte
11-11 ATS · 5-17 SU
13-9 O/U · 3-7 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 10 — the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 48.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Charlotte +6.6 versus the market's +10 — a 3.4-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
14.5 → 10-4.5
Total
52.5 → 48.5-4.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.