WNBA Game Picks
Moneyline, spread, and total picks across tonight's WNBA slate. Edges derived from DraftKings odds blended with team scoring averages.
4games·9picks·6A / A+
Top edge tonight
Top edgeACON @ DAL · 8:40 PM EDT
CON ML +800
Model gives CON a 20.6% win probability vs DK implied 10.7% — a 9.9pt edge.
+800
+9.9% edge
MIN@
ATL3:10 PM EDTLynx: 88 PPG · 80 allowedDream: 87 PPG · 81 allowed
totalA+High
-115
Under 177.5
+9.6pt- •Model projects 167.9 total points; DK line is 177.5. Lean Under.
- •MIN 88.3 PPG / 79.7 allowed. ATL 87.0 PPG / 80.9 allowed.
moneylineB+Medium
+120
ATL ML +120
+5.6%- •Model gives ATL a 49.2% win probability vs DK implied 43.7% — a 5.6pt edge.
- •Home-court advantage tonight.
spreadAHigh
-110
ATL +2.5
+4.9pt- •Model projects margin of ~2.4 pts; the line is 2.5. Difference: 4.9.
- •ATL averages 87.0 PPG vs MIN's defense (79.7 allowed).
LAS@
SEA5:10 PM EDTSparks: 86 PPG · 90 allowedStorm: 82 PPG · 84 allowed
moneylineB+Medium
-115
LAS ML -115
+6.8%- •Model gives LAS a 57.9% win probability vs DK implied 51.1% — a 6.8pt edge.
- •LAS averages 86.4 PPG, outscoring SEA (82.4 PPG).
spreadA+High
-105
LAS -1.5
+6.1pt- •Model projects margin of ~7.6 pts; the line is 1.5. Difference: 6.1.
- •LAS scores 86.4 PPG, more than enough to cover against SEA (84.0 allowed).
totalBLow
-112
Under 174.5
+3.1pt- •Model projects 171.4 total points; DK line is 174.5. Lean Under.
- •LAS 86.4 PPG / 90.1 allowed. SEA 82.4 PPG / 84.0 allowed.
GSV@
POR7:10 PM EDTValkyries: 80 PPG · 76 allowedFire
moneylineAHigh
+180
POR ML +180
+7.9%- •Model gives POR a 42.1% win probability vs DK implied 34.3% — a 7.9pt edge.
- •Home-court advantage tonight.
CON@DAL8:40 PM EDTSun: 77 PPG · 87 allowedWings: 85 PPG · 87 allowed
Model blends DraftKings implied probability with team scoring averages from the 2025 + 2026 WNBA seasons. Lower-confidence picks may simply mean the market is sharp and there's no clear edge. Always shop the line.