What WNBA Props Cost
Measured on 66,189 settled props — both sides of every market — from 2026-05-08 to 2026-08-29. This is the question worth asking before “which side”: how much comes off the top before anyone is right.
Neither side beats its price
Over 49.02%
on 33,113 bets, against a market implied 53.34% — -4.32pp short. 95% CI [48.5, 49.6].
Under 50.96%
on 33,076 bets, against a market implied 54.28% — -3.32pp short. 95% CI [50.4, 51.5].
Unders hit slightly more often than Overs, and it is not an edge — both fall short of what their own price demands, by about the hold. That is the market working correctly. We publish no WNBA prop system because this archive does not support one.
The cost, market by market
| Market | Graded | Book sums to | You pay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Threes Made | 4,679 | 107.2% | 6.70% |
| Points | 15,708 | 107.3% | 6.78% |
| Assists | 5,531 | 107.6% | 7.08% |
| Rebounds | 8,499 | 107.7% | 7.15% |
| Points + Assists | 9,480 | 107.8% | 7.26% |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 9,914 | 107.8% | 7.27% |
| Points + Rebounds | 12,378 | 107.8% | 7.27% |
| A standard −110 game line | — | 104.8% | 4.55% |
Even the cheapest WNBA prop market takes 1.5× what a standard spread bet does. The spread between markets is real but modest — Threes Made at 6.70% against Points + Rebounds at 7.27% — so the bigger decision is props versus sides, not which prop.
Every settled prop in our archive, graded against the actual box score. Markets with fewer than 800 graded bets are left out rather than shown at a sample that cannot support the number. Our own picks are measured separately on Closing Line, which asks a different question: not what the market costs, but whether we beat it.