CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
North Carolina
Offensive efficiency (PPA)35th pct.
Offensive success rate60th pct.
Explosiveness12th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)73th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed30th pct.
Havoc rate12th pct.
Duke
Offensive efficiency (PPA)80th pct.
Offensive success rate53th pct.
Explosiveness80th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)59th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed62th pct.
Havoc rate60th pct.
North Carolina · Returning production
Overall (PPA)27.8%
Passing9.5%
Rushing53.6%
Receiving32.8%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 7-15-1 · O/U 10-13 · avg. margin -3.4
Duke · Returning production
Overall (PPA)17.1%
Passing4.1%
Rushing43.2%
Receiving20.3%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-8-2 · O/U 14-10 · avg. margin +3.0
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings2025Duke 32–25 North Carolina
2024North Carolina 20–21 Duke
2023Duke 45–47 North Carolina
2022North Carolina 38–35 Duke
2021Duke 7–38 North Carolina
Venue & conditions
Wallace Wade Stadium · Durham, NC
68°F · 16.7 mph wind · 70% precip. chance
Player props
Members99 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Benjamin Hall — Over 0.5.