CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
North Carolina
Offensive efficiency (PPA)35th pct.
Offensive success rate60th pct.
Explosiveness12th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)73th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed30th pct.
Havoc rate12th pct.
Pittsburgh
Offensive efficiency (PPA)47th pct.
Offensive success rate38th pct.
Explosiveness64th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)84th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed96th pct.
Havoc rate75th pct.
North Carolina · Returning production
Overall (PPA)27.8%
Passing9.5%
Rushing53.6%
Receiving32.8%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 7-15-1 · O/U 10-13 · avg. margin -3.4
Pittsburgh · Returning production
Overall (PPA)39.7%
Passing58.6%
Rushing67.2%
Receiving24.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +4.0
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026North Carolina 21–17 Pittsburgh
2024Pittsburgh 34–24 North Carolina
2023North Carolina 41–24 Pittsburgh
2022Pittsburgh 24–42 North Carolina
2021North Carolina 23–30 Pittsburgh
2019North Carolina 27–34 Pittsburgh
Venue & conditions
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA
76°F · 12.4 mph wind · 5% precip. chance
Player props
Members99 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Benjamin Hall — Over 0.5.