Sat, Oct 10 · 12:10 PM ET
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh favored by 3.5 · total 47.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
North CarolinaTar Heels
Away · ACC
+3.5
+145
ML
PittsburghPanthers
Home · ACC
-3.5
-175
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| North Carolina | Pittsburgh | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28% | 40% |
| Passing | 10% | 59% |
| Rushing | 54% | 67% |
| Receiving | 33% | 24% |
The read
- At 3.5 the line sits just past 3, so the games decided by exactly 3 fall on the underdog's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from -4 to -3.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
- A total of 47.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
North Carolina
7-15-1 ATS · 8-15 SU
10-13 O/U · 5-5 away
Pittsburgh
13-11 ATS · 13-11 SU
12-12 O/U · 7-5 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 3.5 — the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
- Total 47.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Pittsburgh -4.4 versus the market's -3.5
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-4 → -3.5+0.5
Total
46.5 → 47.5+1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.