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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 7:00 PM ET

Abilene Christian at Texas Tech

Texas Tech favored by 26.5 ยท total 35.5

Abilene ChristianWildcats

Away ยท UAC

+26.5

-125

โ€”

ML

Texas TechRed Raiders

Home ยท Big 12

-26.5

-105

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadAbilene Christian +26.5-125
SpreadTexas Tech -26.5-105
TotalOver 35.5-154
TotalUnder 35.5+120

Returning production

Abilene ChristianTexas Tech
Overallโ€”53%
Passingโ€”27%
Rushingโ€”99%
Receivingโ€”57%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -42.5 to -26.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 28, changing the result in 11.4% of historical games.
  • A total of 35.5 sits among the lowest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Abilene ChristianpercentileTexas Tech

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)78
โ€”Success rate55
โ€”Explosiveness88
โ€”Points per trip69

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed99
โ€”Success rate allowed99
โ€”Havoc99
โ€”Stuff rate90

Last three seasons

Abilene Christian

1-0 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

1-0 O/U ยท 1-0 away

Texas Tech

17-6-1 ATS ยท 17-7 SU

11-13 O/U ยท 8-2-1 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 26.5 โ€” the 21-28 point band. In 805 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.3% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (44.9โ€“51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 35.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 21-28 point band. In 688 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 50.4% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7โ€“54.2%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total35.5O -154 ยท U +120

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -42.5 and the total at 59.5 across 200 checks between Aug 10 โ€“ Aug 31. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.