Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Appalachian State at East Carolina
East Carolina favored by 10 · total 56.5
Appalachian StateMountaineers
Away · Sun Belt
+10
-110
+295
ML
East CarolinaPirates
Home · American Athletic
-10
-110
-375
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| App State | East Carolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 38% | 14% |
| Passing | -31%* | 0% |
| Rushing | 85% | 27% |
| Receiving | 58% | 20% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- The number sits exactly on 10, one of the margins college games land on most often — so a half-point move either way changes more results here than the same move anywhere else on the board.
- A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
App State
8-13-1 ATS · 8-14 SU
8-13-1 O/U · 2-8-1 away
East Carolina
15-8-1 ATS · 15-9 SU
11-13 O/U · 6-4 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 10 — the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 56.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies East Carolina -9.7 versus the market's -10
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -10 and the total at 56.5 across 8 checks between Sep 5. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.