Sat, Nov 28 · 11:00 AM ET
Arizona State at Arizona
Arizona favored by 4.5 · total 52.5
Arizona StateSun Devils
Away · Big 12
+4.5
-110
+180
ML
ArizonaWildcats
Home · Big 12
-4.5
-110
-218
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Arizona State | Arizona | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16% | 65% |
| Passing | 5% | 120%* |
| Rushing | -5%* | 60% |
| Receiving | 31% | 44% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- A total of 52.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Arizona State
18-6-1 ATS · 18-7 SU
13-12 O/U · 7-3 away
Arizona
9-15 ATS · 12-12 SU
10-14 O/U · 5-8 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 4.5 — the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
- Total 52.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Arizona -5.7 versus the market's -4.5 — a 1.2-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -4.5 and the total at 52.5 across 4 checks between Sep 5. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.