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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 7:00 PM ET

Austin Peay at Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt favored by 18.5 ยท total 37.5

Austin PeayGovernors

Away ยท UAC

+18.5

+650

โ€”

ML

VanderbiltCommodores

Home ยท SEC

-18.5

-1150

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadAustin Peay +18.5+650
SpreadVanderbilt -18.5-1150
TotalOver 37.5+575
TotalUnder 37.5-950

Returning production

Austin PeayVanderbilt
Overallโ€”35%
Passingโ€”9%
Rushingโ€”50%
Receivingโ€”50%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -30.5 to -18.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 21 and 24 and 28, changing the result in 12.9% of historical games.
  • A total of 37.5 sits among the lowest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Austin PeaypercentileVanderbilt

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)99
โ€”Success rate99
โ€”Explosiveness95
โ€”Points per trip98

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed18
โ€”Success rate allowed50
โ€”Havoc71
โ€”Stuff rate77

Last three seasons

Vanderbilt

16-7 ATS ยท 14-9 SU

14-8-1 O/U ยท 8-4 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 18.5 โ€” the 17-21 point band. In 639 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.1โ€“54.9%) is taken into account.
  • Total 37.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 14-21 point band. In 1,186 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 47.0% of the time, so the other side has been the more frequent of the two โ€” though still short of the 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total37.5O +575 ยท U -950

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -30.5 and the total at 61.5 across 200 checks between Aug 10 โ€“ Aug 29. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.