Sat, Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Ball State at Kent State
Kent State favored by 3.5 · total 50.5
Ball StateCardinals
Away · Mid-American
+3.5
-115
+136
ML
Kent StateGolden Flashes
Home · Mid-American
-3.5
-105
-162
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Ball State | Kent State | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6% | 64% |
| Passing | 0% | 103%* |
| Rushing | -104%* | 76% |
| Receiving | 32% | 45% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- At 3.5 the line sits just past 3, so the games decided by exactly 3 fall on the underdog's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from -4.5 to -3.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
- A total of 50.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Ball State
12-10 ATS · 6-16 SU
13-8-1 O/U · 5-8 away
Kent State
9-12 ATS · 4-17 SU
11-10 O/U · 4-4 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 3.5 — the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
- Total 50.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Kent State -4.4 versus the market's -3.5
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-4.5 → -3.5+1.0
Total
51.5 → 50.5-1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.