Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
California at Syracuse
Syracuse favored by 3 · total 56.5
CaliforniaGolden Bears
Away · ACC
+3
-108
+136
ML
SyracuseOrange
Home · ACC
-3
-112
-162
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| California | Syracuse | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 58% | 35% |
| Passing | 89% | 83% |
| Rushing | 0% | -19%* |
| Receiving | 43% | 20% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- The number sits exactly on 3, one of the margins college games land on most often — so a half-point move either way changes more results here than the same move anywhere else on the board.
- The spread has moved from 1.5 to -3 since it opened, toward the home side. It crossed 1, changing the result in 5.3% of historical games.
- A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 3.7 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
California
11-13 ATS · 11-13 SU
8-14-2 O/U · 6-6 away
Syracuse
10-14 ATS · 12-12 SU
13-10-1 O/U · 4-8 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 3 — the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
- Total 56.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Syracuse +0.7 versus the market's -3 — a 3.7-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
1.5 → -3-4.5
Total
52.5 → 56.5+4.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.