Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Central Connecticut State at Toledo
Toledo favored by 33.5 · total 55.5
Central Connecticut State
Away
+33.5
-105
+2500
ML
ToledoRockets
Home · Mid-American
-33.5
-115
-9000
ML
Tracking isn't available for this game — we couldn't match both teams to our results feed, and we won't take a pick we can't grade.
Returning production
| Central Connecticut State | Toledo | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | 66% |
| Passing | — | 99% |
| Rushing | — | 26% |
| Receiving | — | 58% |
The read
- A total of 55.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Toledo
13-11 ATS · 14-10 SU
12-12 O/U · 6-4 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 33.5 — the 28-35 point band. In 425 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 46.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (41.9–51.3%) is taken into account.
- Total 55.5 — this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9–58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -33.5 and the total at 55.5 across 8 checks between Sep 9. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.