Sat, Sep 26 Β· 12:00 PM ET
Colorado at Baylor
Baylor favored by 10 Β· total 55.5

ColoradoBuffaloes
Away Β· Big 12
+10
-110
+300
ML

BaylorBears
Home Β· Big 12
-10
-110
-380
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead β or as well β and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Colorado | Baylor | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14% | 60% |
| Passing | -26%* | 78% |
| Rushing | -37%* | 68% |
| Receiving | 39% | 47% |
* Outside 0β100% on purpose β production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
Player props Β· 26 players
Anytime TD
+20 more anytime td ladders
Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props β these are the market's numbers.
The read
- The number sits exactly on 10, one of the margins college games land on most often β so a half-point move either way changes more results here than the same move anywhere else on the board.
- The spread has moved from -8.5 to -10 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 55.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result β overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 5.3 points β the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Colorado
13-11 ATS Β· 11-13 SU
10-13-1 O/U Β· 5-5 away
Baylor
9-14 ATS Β· 11-12 SU
13-9-1 O/U Β· 5-7 home
A record, not a signal β we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 10 β the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time β a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3β51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 55.5 β this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time β a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4β50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick β see every band.
SP+ team strength Β· 2026
SP+ implies Baylor -4.7 versus the market's -10 β a 5.3-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick β tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-8.5 β -10-1.5
Total
53.5 β 55.5+2.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open β DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.
