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Sat, Sep 26 Β· 12:00 PM ET

Colorado at Baylor

Baylor favored by 10 Β· total 55.5

ColoradoBuffaloes

Away Β· Big 12

+10

-110

+300

ML

BaylorBears

Home Β· Big 12

-10

-110

-380

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead β€” or as well β€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadColorado +10-110
SpreadBaylor -10-110
TotalOver 55.5-110
TotalUnder 55.5-110
MoneylineColorado to win+300
MoneylineBaylor to win-380

Returning production

ColoradoBaylor
Overall14%60%
Passing-26%*78%
Rushing-37%*68%
Receiving39%47%

* Outside 0–100% on purpose β€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

Player props Β· 26 players

Anytime TD

Baylor D/STcoin flip at Over (+550)ladder to Over
Caden KnightenBAYcoin flip at Over (-155)ladder to Over
Charlie WilliamsCOLOcoin flip at Over (+750)ladder to Over
Colorado D/STcoin flip at Over (+650)ladder to Over
Damian HendersonCOLOcoin flip at Over (+225)ladder to Over
Danny ScuderoCOLOcoin flip at Over (+370)ladder to Over

+20 more anytime td ladders

Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props β€” these are the market's numbers.

The read

  • The number sits exactly on 10, one of the margins college games land on most often β€” so a half-point move either way changes more results here than the same move anywhere else on the board.
  • The spread has moved from -8.5 to -10 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 55.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result β€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 5.3 points β€” the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

ColoradopercentileBaylor

With the ball

28Efficiency (PPA)64
4Success rate71
97Explosiveness61
30Points per trip50

Without it

22Efficiency allowed40
36Success rate allowed23
40Havoc7
59Stuff rate10

Last three seasons

Colorado

13-11 ATS Β· 11-13 SU

10-13-1 O/U Β· 5-5 away

Baylor

9-14 ATS Β· 11-12 SU

13-9-1 O/U Β· 5-7 home

A record, not a signal β€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 10 β€” the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time β€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.
  • Total 55.5 β€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time β€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick β€” see every band.

SP+ team strength Β· 2026

AwayColorado#65 (+0.7)scores 26.1 Β· allows 25
HomeBaylor#53 (+3.8)scores 31.9 Β· allows 28.8

SP+ implies Baylor -4.7 versus the market's -10 β€” a 5.3-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick β€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total55.5O -110 Β· U -110

Line movement

Spread (home)

-8.5 β†’ -10-1.5

Total

53.5 β†’ 55.5+2.0

flips 0.7%63 checks Β· Sep 20 – Sep 22

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open β€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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