All games

Sat, Sep 26 ยท 6:00 PM ET

Delaware at Virginia

Virginia favored by 19.5 ยท total 52.5

DelawareBlue Hens

Away ยท Conference USA

+19.5

-110

+850

ML

VirginiaCavaliers

Home ยท ACC

-19.5

-110

-1450

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadDelaware +19.5-110
SpreadVirginia -19.5-110
TotalOver 52.5-108
TotalUnder 52.5-112
MoneylineDelaware to win+850
MoneylineVirginia to win-1450

Returning production

DelawareVirginia
Overall85%10%
Passing96%1%
Rushing88%21%
Receiving77%9%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -20.5 to -19.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 52.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

DelawarepercentileVirginia

With the ball

57Efficiency (PPA)53
63Success rate40
54Explosiveness68
35Points per trip40

Without it

18Efficiency allowed88
45Success rate allowed85
51Havoc83
74Stuff rate50

Last three seasons

Delaware

5-6 ATS ยท 6-5 SU

6-5 O/U ยท 1-3 away

Virginia

15-9 ATS ยท 15-9 SU

7-17 O/U ยท 7-5 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 19.5 โ€” the 17-21 point band. In 639 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.1โ€“54.9%) is taken into account.
  • Total 52.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 14-21 point band. In 1,186 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 47.0% of the time, so the other side has been the more frequent of the two โ€” though still short of the 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayDelaware#113 (-12.9)scores 22.8 ยท allows 35.4
HomeVirginia#37 (+8.1)scores 26.9 ยท allows 18.9

SP+ implies Virginia -16.9 versus the market's -19.5 โ€” a 2.6-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total52.5O -108 ยท U -112

Line movement

Spread (home)

-20.5 โ†’ -19.5+1.0

Total

54.5 โ†’ 52.5-2.0

flips 0.9%64 checks ยท Sep 20 โ€“ Sep 22

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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