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Thu, Oct 15 ยท 7:35 PM ET

East Carolina at UAB

East Carolina favored by 5.5 ยท total 49.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

East CarolinaPirates

Away ยท American Athletic

-5.5

-198

ML

UABBlazers

Home ยท American Athletic

+5.5

+164

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadEast Carolina -5.5โ€”
SpreadUAB +5.5โ€”
TotalOver 49.5โ€”
TotalUnder 49.5โ€”
MoneylineEast Carolina to win-198
MoneylineUAB to win+164

Returning production

East CarolinaUAB
Overall14%80%
Passing0%100%
Rushing27%63%
Receiving20%74%

The read

  • The spread has moved from 6.5 to 5.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 49.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

East CarolinapercentileUAB

With the ball

33Efficiency (PPA)19
22Success rate43
78Explosiveness25
17Points per trip12

Without it

86Efficiency allowed55
96Success rate allowed20
91Havoc37
99Stuff rate4

Last three seasons

East Carolina

15-8-1 ATS ยท 15-9 SU

11-13 O/U ยท 7-4-1 away

UAB

7-14 ATS ยท 5-16 SU

10-9-1 O/U ยท 3-7 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 5.5 โ€” the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7โ€“51.0%) is taken into account.
  • Total 49.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ€“50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayEast Carolina#79 (-2.3)scores 24.1 ยท allows 26.3
HomeUAB#124 (-17.5)scores 20.6 ยท allows 37.6

SP+ implies UAB +7.7 versus the market's +5.5 โ€” a 2.2-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total49.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

6.5 โ†’ 5.5-1.0

Total

52.5 โ†’ 49.5-3.0

flips 1.5%170 checks ยท Oct 11 โ€“ Oct 15

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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