Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Eastern Kentucky at Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State favored by 42.5 · total 58.5
Eastern KentuckyColonels
Away · UAC
+42.5
-298
—
ML
Jacksonville StateGamecocks
Home · Conference USA
-42.5
+220
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ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Eastern Kentucky | Jacksonville State | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | 50% |
| Passing | — | 76% |
| Rushing | — | 42% |
| Receiving | — | 49% |
The read
- Forecast winds around 14 mph. Across 2,065 outdoor games, windy ones scored about 4 points fewer than calm ones — but the market moves its total to match, and backing the under in wind lost money at every threshold we tested. Conditions, not an edge.
- The spread has moved from -19.5 to -42.5 since it opened, toward the home side. It crossed 21 and 24 and 28, changing the result in 19.6% of historical games.
- A total of 58.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Eastern Kentucky
0-1 ATS · 0-1 SU
0-1 O/U · 0-1 away
Jacksonville State
14-13 ATS · 17-10 SU
15-12 O/U · 8-4 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 42.5 — the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5–52.7%) is taken into account.
- Total 58.5 — this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9–58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -19.5 and the total at 52.5 across 200 checks between Aug 10 – Aug 29. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.