Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State
Michigan State favored by 16.5 · total 51.5
Eastern MichiganEagles
Away · Mid-American
+16.5
-115
+600
ML
Michigan StateSpartans
Home · Big Ten
-16.5
-105
-900
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Eastern Michigan | Michigan State | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 72% | 21% |
| Passing | 97% | 16% |
| Rushing | 49% | 19% |
| Receiving | 64% | 24% |
The read
- At 16.5 the line sits just short of 17, so the games decided by exactly 17 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- A total of 51.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Eastern Michigan
13-8-1 ATS · 8-14 SU
12-10 O/U · 6-6 away
Michigan State
11-10 ATS · 7-14 SU
11-10 O/U · 2-8 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 16.5 — the 14-17 point band. In 708 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 52.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (49.1–56.5%) is taken into account.
- Total 51.5 — this game's spread sits in the 14-21 point band. In 1,186 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 47.0% of the time, so the other side has been the more frequent of the two — though still short of the 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Michigan State -15 versus the market's -16.5 — a 1.5-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -16.5 and the total at 51.5 across 7 checks between Sep 5. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.