Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Florida at Auburn
Florida favored by 11.5
FloridaGators
Away · SEC
-11.5
-148
—
ML
AuburnTigers
Home · SEC
+11.5
+111
+10000
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Florida | Auburn | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 69% | 14% |
| Passing | 94% | 0% |
| Rushing | 89% | 26% |
| Receiving | 52% | 9% |
The read
- The spread has moved from -1.5 to 11.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 1 and 3 and 7 and 10, changing the result in 22.6% of historical games.
- SP+ and the market differ by 11.6 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Florida
13-9 ATS · 10-12 SU
11-11 O/U · 4-5 away
Auburn
8-13-1 ATS · 8-14 SU
8-14 O/U · 3-9-1 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 11.5 — the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Auburn -0.1 versus the market's +11.5 — a 11.6-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-1.5 → 2.5+4.0
Total
53.5 → 53.5unmoved
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.