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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 3:30 PM ET

Furman at Tennessee

Tennessee favored by 53.5 ยท total 72.5

FurmanPaladins

Away ยท Southern

+53.5

+120

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ML

TennesseeVolunteers

Home ยท SEC

-53.5

-154

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ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadFurman +53.5+120
SpreadTennessee -53.5-154
TotalOver 72.5+200
TotalUnder 72.5-270

Returning production

FurmanTennessee
Overallโ€”35%
Passingโ€”7%
Rushingโ€”48%
Receivingโ€”52%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -46.5 to -53.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 72.5 sits among the highest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

FurmanpercentileTennessee

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)96
โ€”Success rate96
โ€”Explosiveness65
โ€”Points per trip93

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed47
โ€”Success rate allowed21
โ€”Havoc85
โ€”Stuff rate65

Last three seasons

Furman

1-0 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

0-1 O/U ยท 1-0 away

Tennessee

10-14 ATS ยท 16-8 SU

14-10 O/U ยท 4-8 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 53.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 72.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total72.5O +200 ยท U -270

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -46.5 and the total at 66.5 across 200 checks between Aug 10 โ€“ Aug 29. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.