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Sat, Sep 12 ยท 6:00 PM ET

Gardner-Webb at Liberty

Liberty favored by 25.5 ยท total 55.5

Gardner-WebbRunnin' Bulldogs

Away ยท OVC

+25.5

-112

+1500

ML

LibertyFlames

Home ยท Conference USA

-25.5

-108

-3600

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadGardner-Webb +25.5-112
SpreadLiberty -25.5-108
TotalOver 55.5+100
TotalUnder 55.5-120
MoneylineGardner-Webb to win+1500
MoneylineLiberty to win-3600

Returning production

Gardner-WebbLiberty
Overallโ€”38%
Passingโ€”75%
Rushingโ€”45%
Receivingโ€”21%

The read

  • A total of 55.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Gardner-WebbpercentileLiberty

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)46
โ€”Success rate64
โ€”Explosiveness26
โ€”Points per trip49

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed26
โ€”Success rate allowed48
โ€”Havoc13
โ€”Stuff rate35

Last three seasons

Gardner-Webb

1-0 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

1-0 O/U ยท 1-0 away

Liberty

6-15 ATS ยท 10-11 SU

9-11-1 O/U ยท 3-7 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 25.5 โ€” the 21-28 point band. In 805 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.3% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (44.9โ€“51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 55.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 21-28 point band. In 688 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 50.4% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7โ€“54.2%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total55.5O +100 ยท U -120

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -25.5 and the total at 55.5 across 8 checks between Sep 9. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.