Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Idaho State at Utah State
Idaho State favored by 11.5
Idaho StateBengals
Away · Big Sky
-11.5
-620
—
ML
Utah StateAggies
Home · Pac-12
+11.5
+400
—
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Idaho State | Utah State | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | 65% |
| Passing | — | 87% |
| Rushing | — | 74% |
| Receiving | — | 49% |
The read
- Forecast winds around 19 mph. Across 2,065 outdoor games, windy ones scored about 4 points fewer than calm ones — but the market moves its total to match, and backing the under in wind lost money at every threshold we tested. Conditions, not an edge.
- The spread has moved from -11.5 to 11.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 1 and 3 and 7 and 10, changing the result in 45.5% of historical games.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Utah State
13-8-2 ATS · 9-14 SU
14-9 O/U · 10-1 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 11.5 — the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-11.5 → -12.5-1.0
Total
64.5 → 63.5-1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.