Sat, Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET
Illinois State at Northern Illinois
Illinois State favored by 4.5 · total 48.5
Illinois StateRedbirds
Away · MVFC
-4.5
-105
-175
ML
Northern IllinoisHuskies
Home · Mountain West
+4.5
-115
+145
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Illinois State | Northern Illinois | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | 44% |
| Passing | — | 138%* |
| Rushing | — | 29% |
| Receiving | — | 93% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- A total of 48.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Illinois State
3-0 ATS · 2-1 SU
2-1 O/U · 2-0 away
Northern Illinois
6-14-2 ATS · 9-13 SU
11-9-2 O/U · 1-8-1 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 4.5 — the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
- Total 48.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at +4.5 and the total at 48.5 across 8 checks between Sep 9. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.