Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET
Iowa State at Arizona
Arizona favored by 10 · total 50.5
Iowa StateCyclones
Away · Big 12
+10
-115
+300
ML
ArizonaWildcats
Home · Big 12
-10
-105
-380
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Iowa State | Arizona | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2% | 65% |
| Passing | 3% | 120%* |
| Rushing | 5% | 60% |
| Receiving | -0%* | 44% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- The number sits exactly on 10, one of the margins college games land on most often — so a half-point move either way changes more results here than the same move anywhere else on the board.
- A total of 50.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Iowa State
13-11 ATS · 17-7 SU
11-12 O/U · 4-5 away
Arizona
9-15 ATS · 12-12 SU
10-14 O/U · 5-8 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 10 — the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 50.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Arizona -9.3 versus the market's -10
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -10 and the total at 50.5 across 88 checks between Oct 14 – Oct 17. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.