All games

Sat, Sep 12 ยท 6:00 PM ET

Jacksonville State at Ohio

Ohio favored by 2.5 ยท total 51.5

Jacksonville StateGamecocks

Away ยท Conference USA

+2.5

-112

+105

ML

OhioBobcats

Home ยท Mid-American

-2.5

-108

-125

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadJacksonville State +2.5-112
SpreadOhio -2.5-108
TotalOver 51.5-110
TotalUnder 51.5-110
MoneylineJacksonville State to win+105
MoneylineOhio to win-125

Returning production

Jacksonville StateOhio
Overall50%63%
Passing76%94%
Rushing42%100%*
Receiving49%17%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • At 2.5 the line sits just short of 3, so the games decided by exactly 3 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
  • The spread has moved from -1.5 to -2.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 51.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Jacksonville StatepercentileOhio

With the ball

55Efficiency (PPA)69
62Success rate70
55Explosiveness38
53Points per trip38

Without it

51Efficiency allowed60
46Success rate allowed54
70Havoc34
68Stuff rate47

Last three seasons

Jacksonville State

14-13 ATS ยท 17-10 SU

15-12 O/U ยท 4-8 away

Ohio

15-10 ATS ยท 18-7 SU

12-13 O/U ยท 8-2 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 2.5 โ€” the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6โ€“51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 51.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ€“50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayJacksonville State#95 (-7.8)scores 24.8 ยท allows 32
HomeOhio#109 (-11.8)scores 14.1 ยท allows 25.3

SP+ implies Ohio +0.1 versus the market's -2.5 โ€” a 2.6-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total51.5O -110 ยท U -110

Line movement

Spread (home)

-1.5 โ†’ -2.5-1.0

Total

50.5 โ†’ 51.5+1.0

flips 1.7%15 checks ยท Sep 6 โ€“ Sep 7

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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