Sat, Oct 24 ยท 12:00 PM ET
LSU at Auburn
LSU favored by 6.5 ยท total 50.5

LSUTigers
Away ยท SEC
-6.5
-115
-238
ML

AuburnTigers
Home ยท SEC
+6.5
-105
+195
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ or as well โ and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| LSU | Auburn | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21% | 14% |
| Passing | 13% | 0% |
| Rushing | 40% | 26% |
| Receiving | 20% | 9% |
The read
- At 6.5 the line sits just short of 7, so the games decided by exactly 7 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- A total of 50.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 3.0 points โ SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
LSU
9-15 ATS ยท 14-10 SU
8-16 O/U ยท 3-6 away
Auburn
8-13-1 ATS ยท 8-14 SU
8-14 O/U ยท 3-9-1 home
A record, not a signal โ we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 6.5 โ the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time โ a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7โ51.0%) is taken into account.
- Total 50.5 โ this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ see every band.
SP+ team strength ยท 2026
SP+ implies Auburn +3.5 versus the market's +6.5 โ a 3.0-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick โ tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at +6.5 and the total at 50.5 across 85 checks between Oct 14 โ Oct 16. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.
