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Sat, Oct 3 ยท 7:45 PM ET

McNeese at LSU

LSU favored by 53.5 ยท total 62.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

McNeeseCowboys

Away ยท Southland

+53.5

โ€”

ML

LSUTigers

Home ยท SEC

-53.5

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadMcNeese +53.5โ€”
SpreadLSU -53.5โ€”
TotalOver 62.5โ€”
TotalUnder 62.5โ€”

Returning production

McNeeseLSU
Overallโ€”21%
Passingโ€”13%
Rushingโ€”40%
Receivingโ€”20%

The read

  • A total of 62.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

McNeesepercentileLSU

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)72
โ€”Success rate87
โ€”Explosiveness46
โ€”Points per trip73

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed90
โ€”Success rate allowed99
โ€”Havoc94
โ€”Stuff rate98

Last three seasons

McNeese

0-1 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

0-1 O/U ยท 0-1 away

LSU

9-15 ATS ยท 14-10 SU

8-16 O/U ยท 5-7 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 53.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 62.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total62.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-53.5 โ†’ -53.5unmoved

Total

60.5 โ†’ 62.5+2.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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