Fri, Sep 18 · 7:30 PM ET
Miami FL at Wake Forest
Miami FL favored by 22.5 · total 54.5
Miami FLHurricanes
Away · ACC
-22.5
-108
-1800
ML
Wake ForestDemon Deacons
Home · ACC
+22.5
-112
+1000
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Miami | Wake Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37% | 14% |
| Passing | 6% | 23% |
| Rushing | 91% | 5% |
| Receiving | 45% | 13% |
The read
- A total of 54.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 12.4 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Miami
17-10 ATS · 21-6 SU
15-12 O/U · 6-5 away
Wake Forest
11-11-1 ATS · 11-12 SU
12-10-1 O/U · 4-8 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 22.5 — the 21-28 point band. In 805 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.3% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.9–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 54.5 — this game's spread sits in the 21-28 point band. In 688 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 50.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–54.2%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Wake Forest +10.1 versus the market's +22.5 — a 12.4-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at +22.5 and the total at 54.5 across 12 checks between Sep 12 – Sep 13. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.