Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Murray State at Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee favored by 23.5 · total 52.5
Murray StateRacers
Away · MVFC
+23.5
+310
—
ML
Middle TennesseeBlue Raiders
Home · Conference USA
-23.5
-445
—
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Murray State | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | 33% |
| Passing | — | 39% |
| Rushing | — | 60% |
| Receiving | — | 26% |
The read
- The spread has moved from -20.5 to -23.5 since it opened, toward the home side. It crossed 21, changing the result in 4.1% of historical games.
- A total of 52.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Murray State
2-1 ATS · 0-3 SU
0-3 O/U · 2-1 away
Middle Tennessee
9-12 ATS · 5-16 SU
10-11 O/U · 4-6 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 23.5 — the 21-28 point band. In 805 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.3% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.9–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 52.5 — this game's spread sits in the 21-28 point band. In 688 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 50.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–54.2%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -20.5 and the total at 59.5 across 200 checks between Aug 10 – Aug 29. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.