Sun, Sep 13 ยท 12:00 AM ET
New Mexico State at Hawaii
Hawaii favored by 11.5 ยท total 51.5

New Mexico StateAggies
Away ยท Conference USA
+11.5
-108
+310
ML

HawaiiRainbow Warriors
Home ยท Mountain West
-11.5
-112
-395
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ or as well โ and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| New Mexico State | Hawai'i | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24% | 65% |
| Passing | 40% | 91% |
| Rushing | 81% | 21% |
| Receiving | 30% | 52% |
The read
- A total of 51.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
New Mexico State
10-11 ATS ยท 4-17 SU
12-8-1 O/U ยท 5-6 away
Hawai'i
14-9-1 ATS ยท 13-11 SU
9-15 O/U ยท 11-2-1 home
A record, not a signal โ we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 11.5 โ the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time โ a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3โ51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 51.5 โ this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ see every band.
SP+ team strength ยท 2026
SP+ implies Hawaii -13.4 versus the market's -11.5 โ a 1.9-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick โ tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -11.5 and the total at 51.5 across 6 checks between Sep 5. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.
