Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Nicholls State at Kansas State
Kansas State favored by 68.5 · total 74.5
Nicholls StateColonels
Away · Southland
+68.5
-1750
—
ML
Kansas StateWildcats
Home · Big 12
-68.5
+850
—
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Nicholls | Kansas State | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | 71% |
| Passing | — | 100% |
| Rushing | — | 61% |
| Receiving | — | 57% |
The read
- The spread has moved from -40.5 to -68.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 74.5 sits among the highest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Nicholls
2-0 ATS · 0-2 SU
1-1 O/U · 2-0 away
Kansas State
9-12 ATS · 12-9 SU
11-10 O/U · 5-4 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 68.5 — the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5–52.7%) is taken into account.
- Total 74.5 — this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9–58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -40.5 and the total at 55.5 across 200 checks between Aug 10 – Sep 2. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.