All games

Fri, Sep 11 ยท 7:00 PM ET

Norfolk State at Virginia

Virginia favored by 44.5 ยท total 54.5

Norfolk StateSpartans

Away ยท MEAC

+44.5

-110

โ€”

ML

VirginiaCavaliers

Home ยท ACC

-44.5

-110

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadNorfolk State +44.5-110
SpreadVirginia -44.5-110
TotalOver 54.5-112
TotalUnder 54.5-108

Returning production

Norfolk StateVirginia
Overallโ€”10%
Passingโ€”1%
Rushingโ€”21%
Receivingโ€”9%

The read

  • A total of 54.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Norfolk StatepercentileVirginia

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)53
โ€”Success rate40
โ€”Explosiveness68
โ€”Points per trip40

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed88
โ€”Success rate allowed85
โ€”Havoc83
โ€”Stuff rate50

Last three seasons

Norfolk State

0-1 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

1-0 O/U ยท 0-1 away

Virginia

15-9 ATS ยท 15-9 SU

7-17 O/U ยท 7-5 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 44.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 54.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total54.5O -112 ยท U -108

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -44.5 and the total at 54.5 across 13 checks between Sep 7 โ€“ Sep 8. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.