Sat, Sep 5 · 4:15 PM ET
North Alabama at Arkansas
Arkansas favored by 16.5 · total 45.5
North AlabamaLions
Away · UAC
+16.5
+600
—
ML
ArkansasRazorbacks
Home · SEC
-16.5
-1050
—
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| North Alabama | Arkansas | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | 15% |
| Passing | — | 19% |
| Rushing | — | 15% |
| Receiving | — | 12% |
The read
- At 16.5 the line sits just short of 17, so the games decided by exactly 17 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from -40.5 to -16.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 17 and 21 and 24 and 28, changing the result in 22.9% of historical games.
- A total of 45.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Arkansas
9-13 ATS · 6-16 SU
13-9 O/U · 3-8 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 16.5 — the 14-17 point band. In 708 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 52.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (49.1–56.5%) is taken into account.
- Total 45.5 — this game's spread sits in the 14-21 point band. In 1,186 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 47.0% of the time, so the other side has been the more frequent of the two — though still short of the 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -40.5 and the total at 63.5 across 200 checks between Aug 10 – Aug 29. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.