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Fri, Sep 4 ยท 7:00 PM ET

North Carolina A&T at Georgia State

Georgia State favored by 49.5 ยท total 69.5

North Carolina A&TAggies

Away ยท Coastal Athletic

+49.5

-360

โ€”

ML

Georgia StatePanthers

Home ยท Sun Belt

-49.5

+260

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadNorth Carolina A&T +49.5-360
SpreadGeorgia State -49.5+260
TotalOver 69.5+230
TotalUnder 69.5-315

Returning production

North Carolina A&TGeorgia State
Overallโ€”47%
Passingโ€”64%
Rushingโ€”127%*
Receivingโ€”28%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • The spread has moved from -28.5 to -49.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 69.5 sits among the highest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

North Carolina A&TpercentileGeorgia State

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)31
โ€”Success rate34
โ€”Explosiveness53
โ€”Points per trip26

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed6
โ€”Success rate allowed10
โ€”Havoc10
โ€”Stuff rate7

Last three seasons

Georgia State

5-16-1 ATS ยท 3-19 SU

12-9-1 O/U ยท 2-8 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 49.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 69.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total69.5O +230 ยท U -315

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -28.5 and the total at 63.5 across 200 checks between Aug 10 โ€“ Aug 29. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.