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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 12:00 PM ET

North Texas at Indiana

Indiana favored by 29.5 ยท total 63.5

North TexasMean Green

Away ยท American Athletic

+29.5

-180

โ€”

ML

IndianaHoosiers

Home ยท Big Ten

-29.5

+140

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadNorth Texas +29.5-180
SpreadIndiana -29.5+140
TotalOver 63.5-120
TotalUnder 63.5-110

Returning production

North TexasIndiana
Overall3%17%
Passing2%2%
Rushing3%25%
Receiving2%24%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -41.5 to -29.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 63.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

North TexaspercentileIndiana

With the ball

98Efficiency (PPA)94
98Success rate97
74Explosiveness22
97Points per trip99

Without it

57Efficiency allowed96
31Success rate allowed93
20Havoc99
8Stuff rate99

Last three seasons

North Texas

14-10 ATS ยท 15-9 SU

17-7 O/U ยท 6-5 away

Indiana

18-9 ATS ยท 25-2 SU

17-10 O/U ยท 9-4 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 29.5 โ€” the 28-35 point band. In 425 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 46.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (41.9โ€“51.3%) is taken into account.
  • Total 63.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayNorth Texas#105 (-11.6)scores 23.7 ยท allows 35
HomeIndiana#5 (+25.8)scores 37.8 ยท allows 12.5

SP+ implies Indiana -28 versus the market's -29.5 โ€” a 1.5-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total63.5O -120 ยท U -110

Line movement

Spread (home)

-41.5 โ†’ -40.5+1.0

Total

55.5 โ†’ 55.5unmoved

flips 7.3%200 checks ยท Aug 5 โ€“ Aug 29

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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