Fri, Sep 25 · 8:00 PM ET
Northwestern at Indiana
Indiana favored by 23.5 · total 47.5
NorthwesternWildcats
Away · Big Ten
+23.5
-110
+1600
ML
IndianaHoosiers
Home · Big Ten
-23.5
-110
-4000
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Northwestern | Indiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 89% | 17% |
| Passing | 94% | 2% |
| Rushing | 88% | 25% |
| Receiving | 86% | 24% |
The read
- A total of 47.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 6.8 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Northwestern
10-11-2 ATS · 9-14 SU
12-11 O/U · 3-5-2 away
Indiana
18-9 ATS · 25-2 SU
17-10 O/U · 9-4 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 23.5 — the 21-28 point band. In 805 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.3% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.9–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 47.5 — this game's spread sits in the 21-28 point band. In 688 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 50.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–54.2%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Indiana -16.7 versus the market's -23.5 — a 6.8-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -23.5 and the total at 47.5 across 9 checks between Sep 20. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.