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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 7:30 PM ET

Northwestern State at Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech favored by 44.5 ยท total 56.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Northwestern StateDemons

Away ยท Southland

+44.5

โ€”

ML

Louisiana TechBulldogs

Home ยท Sun Belt

-44.5

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadNorthwestern State +44.5โ€”
SpreadLouisiana Tech -44.5โ€”
TotalOver 56.5โ€”
TotalUnder 56.5โ€”

Returning production

Northwestern StateLouisiana Tech
Overallโ€”64%
Passingโ€”99%
Rushingโ€”79%
Receivingโ€”44%

The read

  • A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Northwestern StatepercentileLouisiana Tech

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)51
โ€”Success rate41
โ€”Explosiveness90
โ€”Points per trip59

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed44
โ€”Success rate allowed67
โ€”Havoc93
โ€”Stuff rate68

Last three seasons

Northwestern State

0-1 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

1-0 O/U ยท 0-1 away

Louisiana Tech

13-10 ATS ยท 11-12 SU

9-14 O/U ยท 7-3 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 44.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 56.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total56.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-44.5 โ†’ -44.5unmoved

Total

55.5 โ†’ 56.5+1.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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