Sat, Sep 26 · 2:00 PM ET
Notre Dame at Purdue
Notre Dame favored by 27.5 · total 56.5
Notre DameFighting Irish
Away · FBS Independents
-27.5
-115
-6500
ML
PurdueBoilermakers
Home · Big Ten
+27.5
-105
+2000
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Notre Dame | Purdue | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 51% | 48% |
| Passing | 91% | 97% |
| Rushing | 12% | 61% |
| Receiving | 38% | 22% |
The read
- A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 10.6 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Notre Dame
19-9 ATS · 24-4 SU
15-13 O/U · 5-3 away
Purdue
7-15 ATS · 1-21 SU
11-11 O/U · 3-8 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 27.5 — the 21-28 point band. In 805 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.3% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.9–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 56.5 — this game's spread sits in the 21-28 point band. In 688 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 50.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–54.2%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Purdue +16.9 versus the market's +27.5 — a 10.6-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at +27.5 and the total at 56.5 across 9 checks between Sep 20. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.