All games

Sat, Sep 5 ยท 3:45 PM ET

Oklahoma State at Tulsa

Tulsa favored by 13.5 ยท total 34.5

Oklahoma StateCowboys

Away ยท Big 12

+13.5

+220

โ€”

ML

TulsaGolden Hurricane

Home ยท American Athletic

-13.5

-298

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadOklahoma State +13.5+220
SpreadTulsa -13.5-298
TotalOver 34.5+175
TotalUnder 34.5-230

Returning production

Oklahoma StateTulsa
Overall0%41%
Passing0%69%
Rushing0%11%
Receiving0%42%

The read

  • At 13.5 the line sits just short of 14, so the games decided by exactly 14 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
  • The spread has moved from 13.5 to -13.5 since it opened, toward the home side. It crossed 1 and 3 and 7 and 10, changing the result in 48.6% of historical games.
  • A total of 34.5 sits among the lowest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 19.8 points โ€” the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

Oklahoma StatepercentileTulsa

With the ball

4Efficiency (PPA)18
5Success rate29
12Explosiveness60
8Points per trip21

Without it

4Efficiency allowed50
19Success rate allowed40
34Havoc10
66Stuff rate44

Last three seasons

Oklahoma State

9-13 ATS ยท 3-19 SU

11-11 O/U ยท 4-6 away

Tulsa

9-12 ATS ยท 5-16 SU

12-9 O/U ยท 4-6 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 13.5 โ€” the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3โ€“51.1%) is taken into account.
  • Total 34.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ€“50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayOklahoma State#39 (+6.9)scores 29.9 ยท allows 23.4
HomeTulsa#91 (-6.1)scores 24.2 ยท allows 30.9

SP+ implies Tulsa +6.3 versus the market's -13.5 โ€” a 19.8-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total34.5O +175 ยท U -230

Line movement

Spread (home)

13.5 โ†’ 14+0.5

Total

61.5 โ†’ 60.5-1.0

crossed 1 & 3 & 7 & 10 ยท flips 48.6%200 checks ยท Aug 5 โ€“ Aug 29

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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