All games

Sat, Sep 26 ยท 3:30 PM ET

Ole Miss at Florida

Florida favored by 1.5 ยท total 58.5

Ole MissRebels

Away ยท SEC

+1.5

-110

-102

ML

FloridaGators

Home ยท SEC

-1.5

-110

-118

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadOle Miss +1.5-110
SpreadFlorida -1.5-110
TotalOver 58.5-102
TotalUnder 58.5-118
MoneylineOle Miss to win-102
MoneylineFlorida to win-118

Returning production

Ole MissFlorida
Overall50%69%
Passing79%94%
Rushing84%89%
Receiving19%52%

The read

  • The spread has moved from 1.5 to -1.5 since it opened, toward the home side. It crossed 1, changing the result in 3.6% of historical games.
  • A total of 58.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Ole MisspercentileFlorida

With the ball

90Efficiency (PPA)36
88Success rate40
69Explosiveness4
86Points per trip69

Without it

58Efficiency allowed38
63Success rate allowed34
64Havoc27
39Stuff rate32

Last three seasons

Ole Miss

16-10 ATS ยท 21-5 SU

9-17 O/U ยท 5-3 away

Florida

13-9 ATS ยท 10-12 SU

11-11 O/U ยท 6-4 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 1.5 โ€” the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6โ€“51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 58.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ€“50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayOle Miss#16 (+16.5)scores 35.2 ยท allows 19.4
HomeFlorida#20 (+15.2)scores 30.4 ยท allows 15.8

SP+ implies Florida -1.7 versus the market's -1.5

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total58.5O -102 ยท U -118

Line movement

Spread (home)

1.5 โ†’ -1.5-3.0

Total

58.5 โ†’ 58.5unmoved

crossed 1 ยท flips 3.6%12 checks ยท Sep 20

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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