Oregon at USC

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

Returning production

The read

• At 13.5 the line sits just short of 14, so the games decided by exactly 14 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
• The spread has moved from 5.5 to 13.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 7 and 10, changing the result in 11.9% of historical games.
• SP+ and the market differ by 8.3 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

How games at these numbers have gone

• Spread 13.5 — the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.

SP+ team strength · 2026

SP+ implies USC +5.2 versus the market's +13.5 — a 8.3-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick — tap the ⓘ for what these numbers mean and what we measured.