Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh at Miami FL
Miami FL favored by 23.5 · total 53.5
PittsburghPanthers
Away · ACC
+23.5
-110
+1300
ML
Miami FLHurricanes
Home · ACC
-23.5
-110
-2800
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Pittsburgh | Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 40% | 37% |
| Passing | 59% | 6% |
| Rushing | 67% | 91% |
| Receiving | 24% | 45% |
The read
- A total of 53.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 10.2 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Pittsburgh
13-11 ATS · 13-11 SU
12-12 O/U · 6-4 away
Miami
17-10 ATS · 21-6 SU
15-12 O/U · 8-4 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 23.5 — the 21-28 point band. In 805 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.3% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.9–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 53.5 — this game's spread sits in the 21-28 point band. In 688 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 50.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–54.2%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Miami FL -13.3 versus the market's -23.5 — a 10.2-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -23.5 and the total at 53.5 across 83 checks between Oct 14 – Oct 16. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.