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Fri, Sep 11 ยท 7:00 PM ET

Richmond at NC State

NC State favored by 30.5 ยท total 48.5

RichmondSpiders

Away ยท Patriot

+30.5

-108

+3000

ML

NC StateWolfpack

Home ยท ACC

-30.5

-112

-10000

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadRichmond +30.5-108
SpreadNC State -30.5-112
TotalOver 48.5-115
TotalUnder 48.5-105
MoneylineRichmond to win+3000
MoneylineNC State to win-10000

Returning production

RichmondNC State
Overallโ€”60%
Passingโ€”93%
Rushingโ€”102%*
Receivingโ€”26%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • A total of 48.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

RichmondpercentileNC State

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)85
โ€”Success rate63
โ€”Explosiveness90
โ€”Points per trip94

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed25
โ€”Success rate allowed71
โ€”Havoc34
โ€”Stuff rate52

Last three seasons

Richmond

0-1 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

0-1 O/U ยท 0-1 away

NC State

10-13-1 ATS ยท 12-12 SU

13-11 O/U ยท 5-6-1 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 30.5 โ€” the 28-35 point band. In 425 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 46.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (41.9โ€“51.3%) is taken into account.
  • Total 48.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total48.5O -115 ยท U -105

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -30.5 and the total at 48.5 across 10 checks between Sep 7 โ€“ Sep 8. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.