All games

Sat, Oct 10 ยท 12:45 PM ET

South Carolina at Florida

Florida favored by 10.5 ยท total 59.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

South CarolinaGamecocks

Away ยท SEC

+10.5

+350

ML

FloridaGators

Home ยท SEC

-10.5

-455

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadSouth Carolina +10.5โ€”
SpreadFlorida -10.5โ€”
TotalOver 59.5โ€”
TotalUnder 59.5โ€”
MoneylineSouth Carolina to win+350
MoneylineFlorida to win-455

Returning production

South CarolinaFlorida
Overall69%69%
Passing65%94%
Rushing80%89%
Receiving67%52%

The read

  • At 10.5 the line sits just past 10, so the games decided by exactly 10 fall on the underdog's side of this bet.
  • The spread has moved from -14 to -10.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 59.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 6.1 points โ€” the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

South CarolinapercentileFlorida

With the ball

62Efficiency (PPA)86
62Success rate83
51Explosiveness49
75Points per trip96

Without it

23Efficiency allowed31
44Success rate allowed25
25Havoc78
83Stuff rate9

Last three seasons

South Carolina

15-9 ATS ยท 12-12 SU

12-12 O/U ยท 7-2 away

Florida

13-9 ATS ยท 10-12 SU

11-11 O/U ยท 6-4 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 10.5 โ€” the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3โ€“51.1%) is taken into account.
  • Total 59.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ€“50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwaySouth Carolina#24 (+12.6)scores 30.2 ยท allows 18.1
HomeFlorida#20 (+15.2)scores 30.4 ยท allows 15.8

SP+ implies Florida -4.4 versus the market's -10.5 โ€” a 6.1-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total59.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-14 โ†’ -10.5+3.5

Total

62.5 โ†’ 59.5-3.0

flips 3.1%200 checks ยท Oct 5 โ€“ Oct 10

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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